Something fishy
by , 14th November 2007 at 12:56 PM (1674 Views)
The controversy surrounding the Namibian midwater fishery, which mainly targets horse mackerel, comes as no surprise.
Rumors have been rife for some time now on illegal fishing activities inside the 200m depth zone - mainly on the northern fishing grounds - as well as on the open-ocean transfer of catches, and the alleged (which is now being investigated) dumping of unwanted catches.
And then, amidst the chaos this important fishery has been drowning in the last two weeks, one of the vessels that had been recalled to WBay decided to make a run for it, which does not necessarily count in favor of the industry either.
Now of course the industry bemoans the daily loss of millions of N$ due to the recall, and the vessels crews suffering the brunt of it, consequently increasing the frustration among the stakeholders.
But stop there for a moment and consider the implications of any of these rumours on the fishery(and its future health)? The horse mackerel stock is assessed annually, and this assessment takes into consideration annual scientific biomass estimates, total annual catches, and a range of biological data.
Scientist from MFMR then analyze this data, trying to observe trends in the data, or explain the difference between annual catches and annual observed biomass, eventually coming up with the magic number (or a range), which forms the basis of a quota recommendation.
Problems arise when the input data is full of snags and thus the resulting output close to useless (if not dangerously wrong). If the annual catches are in fact much higher than reported (due to fish dumped or transshipped - unreported catch), the average length of a caught horse mackerel much lower (due to small fish being dumped but not recorded), and the estimated mortality of the stock much higher (observed length data giving wrong signals), the assessment would churn out very different figures.
Actually this 'bad information' would result in the health of the stock (the current biomass swimming around in the sea) being overestimated, and the quota recommendation being way to high. The green light is given for catching fish which is not really there.
Therefore, assuming hat there might be some truth to the allegations against these vessels, and considering the possible consequences of inaction, I fully support the actions taken by the government to investigate this matter to the fullest.

















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